The Equipment Leasing and Finance Association (ELFA) released its latest Monthly Leasing and Finance Index (MLFI-25) report, showcasing economic activity within the equipment finance sector. The report reveals that February’s new business volume was $5.9 billion, representing a 3% year-over-year decline compared to February 2016. While this dip may raise concerns for some stakeholders, it is important to assess the overall economic landscape and understand the contributing factors behind these figures. In this blog post, we’ll delve deeper into the data, examine the trends, and explore the potential implications for the equipment leasing and finance industry.
Understanding the ELFA Monthly Leasing and Finance Index (MLFI-25):
The MLFI-25 serves as a key financial indicator within the equipment leasing and finance industry. Compiled from data provided by 25 companies representing a diverse cross-section of the sector, it offers valuable insights into the overall health and trends of the market. By analyzing new business volumes, credit quality, and other metrics, stakeholders can gain a better understanding of the industry’s current state and its potential future trajectory.
February’s New Business Volume Analysis:
According to the MLFI-25 report, February’s new business volume totaled $5.9 billion, marking a 3% decrease from the same period in the previous year. Additionally, the volume saw a month-to-month decline of 5% compared to January’s figure of $6.2 billion. While this decline may seem concerning, it is crucial to consider the broader economic context that could be influencing these results.
Economic Factors Influencing the Equipment Leasing and Finance Industry:
Several economic factors can influence the equipment leasing and finance industry’s performance. One of the primary indicators is consumer and business confidence. When consumers and businesses are optimistic about the future, they are more likely to invest in new equipment and technology. Conversely, uncertainty or economic downturns may lead to decreased demand for equipment leasing and financing services.
Moreover, interest rates play a crucial role in shaping the industry’s dynamics. The Federal Reserve’s decision to raise its short-term interest rate target in March could have implications for the equipment finance sector. Higher interest rates might lead to increased borrowing costs for businesses, potentially impacting their equipment acquisition decisions.
Credit Quality and Approvals:
The report also sheds light on credit quality and approval rates within the industry. Receivables over 30 days decreased to 1.50% from the previous month’s 1.70% but showed a slight increase from 1.40% compared to the same period in 2016. This mixed credit quality indicates that businesses are managing their financial obligations reasonably well, despite some challenges.
Credit approvals, on the other hand, declined slightly to 74.8% in February from January’s figure of 75.4%. While this might indicate a more cautious approach by lenders, it’s crucial to remember that a credit approval rate above 70% is generally considered healthy for the industry.
Employment Trends in the Equipment Finance Sector:
Total headcount for equipment finance companies experienced a significant increase of 18.6% year over year. This spike is primarily attributed to continued acquisition activity at an MLFI reporting company. The growth in employment indicates a positive outlook for the industry, as companies are expanding their operations and increasing their workforce to meet growing demand.
Confidence in the Equipment Leasing and Finance Sector:
The Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation’s Monthly Confidence Index for March stood at 71.1, slightly down from February’s index of 72.2 but still among the highest levels of the last two years. This confidence level indicates that industry professionals remain positive about the sector’s future prospects, despite the challenges faced in the past year.
February’s MLFI-25 report reflects a moderate decline in new business volume within the equipment leasing and finance industry. While this may raise some concerns, it’s essential to consider the broader economic context, including consumer and business confidence, interest rates, and overall market conditions. With credit quality holding steady and a positive outlook from industry professionals, there are reasons to be cautiously optimistic about the sector’s growth in the coming months. As the industry adapts to changing economic conditions, stakeholders must stay vigilant and continue monitoring trends to make informed decisions in this dynamic market.