Business Borrowing sets RECORD pace in May!

Borrowing by small businesses is seen as foreshadowing the broader economy because we account almost 80% of new hiring.  PayNet tracks business activity as it relates to new lease and loan originations.

The Federal Reserve has kept rates near zero since December 2008 to try to pull the economy from the worst downturn since the 1930s.

Last week Fed officials reiterated their promise to keep rates low for an extended period, but predicted a slower-than-expected Spring would give way to faster growth later this year.

Today’s data on small business borrowing suggests an optimistic view. Changes in the index typically signal developments in the overall economy two to five months in advance.

A separate report released on Thursday showed small business loan defaults at their lowest in five years, tying records set in April and May 2006.

PayNet also reported that accounts in moderate delinquency, or those behind by 30 days or more, fell in May to 1.95 percent from 2.06 percent in April.

Accounts 90 days or more behind in payment, or in severe delinquency, fell to 0.59 percent in May from 0.63 percent in April.

Banks with improving asset quality outnumbered banks with deteriorating asset quality by four to one.

Accounts behind 180 days or more, or in default and unlikely to ever get paid, fell to 0.75 percent of total receivables in May, from 0.77 percent in April, according to PayNet, which also provides risk-management tools to the commercial lending industry.

If you have been thinking about expanding the business, the time is now.  Rates will not stay at their current levels much longer.  Let me start working on your financial plan today.  Success is in your future.

Have a phenomenal 4th of July weekend!

May ELFA report shows continued growth but waning confidence

The Equipment Leasing and Finance Association’s (ELFA) Monthly Leasing and Finance Index (MLFI-25), which reports economic activity for the $521 billion equipment finance sector, showed overall new business volume for May was $5.6 billion, up 30% from volume of $4.3 billion in the same period in 2010. Compared against April volume, May volume increased by 10%. Year to date, new business volume is up 27% over last year.

Credit quality continued to improve. Receivables over 30 days decreased 12% to 2.9% in May from 3.3% in April, and declined by 28% compared to the same period in 2010. Charge-offs remained unchanged at 0.8% in May from the previous month, and decreased by 51% from the same period in 2010.

Credit standards remained unchanged in May from the previous month at 76%. Sixty-eight percent of participating organizations reported submitting more transactions for approval during the month, an increase from 45% in April.

Total headcount for equipment finance companies in May decreased two percent and was down one percent year-over-year. Supplemental data shows that the construction and trucking sectors continued to lead the underperforming sectors.

Separately, the Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation’s Monthly Confidence Index (MCI-EFI) for June is 52.6, down from the May index of 63.2, indicating industry concerns over the sputtering economic recovery and uncertainties regarding lease accounting changes.

ELFA president and CEO William G. Sutton, CAE, said: “Directionally, there is good news both in the amount of new business generated during the period and the rebound in credit quality. However, some industry sectors continue to lag, and an atmosphere of uncertainty prevails.”

New business volume improvements continue but in an uneven manner across different industries.

Capital needs in 2011?  You need an expert to help sort through your options.  Let’s talk.

Small Business Lending …Improving (slightly)

It has been a long time since the words good news and commercial lending have been mentioned in the same sentence. However, several recent developments in commercial lending offer signs of easing from tightfisted lenders.

Necessity is the mother of invention, so people have been finding creative ways to get financing.  Legislation, stimulus money and a recovering economy are all contributing to a better commercial lending landscape.

SBA Loans

When it was signed into law, the Small Business Jobs Act of 2010 established a $30 billion fund that encourages lending to small businesses by providing capital to qualified community banks with assets of less than $10 billion. The Small Business Lending Fund provides those lenders with low-cost capital with an interest rate as low as 1% if they best their 2009 small-business lending levels–a strong incentive to dole out the dough.

But the lending activity isn’t only in small banks. On the heels of becoming the No. 1 SBA lender in the U.S. in 2010, financial services firm JP Morgan Chase announced in April that it would loan $12 billion to American small businesses in 2011, a 20% increase over its 2010 commitment.

During the first quarter of 2011, Chase increased its lending 64% to businesses with annual sales of less than $20 million.

State and regional economic development agencies have also beefed up specialty lending programs, often focused on economically challenged communities or targeted toward specific sectors, author Strauss says.

While it’s designed as a tool for real estate site selection professionals, Strauss recommends ecodevdirectory.com as a useful tool for small businesses seeking state or regional loans, since it provides links to a wide variety of economic development agencies nationwide.

The “money is tight” mantra has been such a constant since the financial crisis began that many business owners might give up the search for cash and financing before they even begin. In addition to better commercial lending prospects, there are some places where the credit crunch is easing.

New SBA programs. Ever since the Small Business Jobs and Credit Act was signed into law in September 2010, loan limits on several lending programs were raised–some permanently, some temporarily. A survey released in March by the National Association of Development Companies found first-quarter SBA average loan value was up 20% and the total number of loans was up 13%. In addition, new programs, such as the Community Advantage pilot program, which expands access to smaller loans in underserved communities, as well as loan program changes, such as a temporary change to the SBA’s 504 loan program to allow commercial mortgage refinancing, give small businesses a greater number of financing options.

Equipment Leasing

Equipment leasing and financing. The Equipment Leasing and Finance Association’s (ELFA) members have been on a lending tear lately. ELFA’s monthly Leasing and Finance Index, which reports economic activity for the $521 billion equipment finance sector, shows that business volume for March (the most recent data released) was $6.2 billion, up 44% compared to the same period a year earlier. That’s also a 51% jump over February.

Credit Unions

While only offered at approximately one-third of credit unions, business loans are the fastest-growing segment of these member-owned institutions’ loan portfolios, with double-digit growth reported in three of the past five years. In 2009 and 2010, however, this growth dipped to 9.9% and 6%, respectively.

Part of the reason is that credit unions are saddled with a 12.25% asset cap, which has been in place since 1998. The cap means that they can’t extend more than 12.25% of their total assets in business loans. According to the Credit Union National Association (CUNA) in Washington, D.C., 360 credit unions are at or quickly approaching the cap, accounting for about 60% of credit union business lending.

Legislation has been introduced in both houses of Congress to change that. The Small Business Lending Enhancement Act, which more than doubles credit unions’ current small-business lending cap, raising it to 27.5%.

In April, Reps. Ed Royce (R-Calif.) and Carolyn McCarthy (D-N.Y.) introduced the Small Business Lending Enhancement Act in the House, also raising the current credit union member business lending cap from 12.25% to 27.5%. CUNA estimates that raising the cap could account for an additional $13 billion in small-business lending in the first year after implementation, helping to create nearly 140,000 new jobs.

And while commercial lending at credit unions has slowed–largely because of this cap–Schenk is quick to point out that many credit unions have not reached their caps yet and that credit unions often offer advantages for small businesses, including lower interest rates and easier qualifying terms.

Venture Capital

After contracted numbers in 2008 and 2009, the Center for Venture Research at the University of New Hampshire’s 2010 Angel Market Analysis showed a 14% increase in investment over the previous year.

In March, the National Venture Capital Association (NVCA) reported that first-quarter 2011 dollar volume increased, but deal volume decreased. However, NVCA president Mark Heesen says there is a lot of good news for entrepreneurs. While the downturn meant companies didn’t get acquired or go public, and VCs had to pour more money into their portfolio companies to sustain them, that’s changing. More companies are getting to their cash-out phase, so VCs will be looking for new opportunities.

The expectation is to see venture capital firms go out and raise new funds, either later this year or early next.  When you raise a new fund, you’re starting over, so you’re going to consider earlier-stage companies because you have the ability and the money at that point to start looking at new ideas and new companies.

Still not good but the improving everyday.  Now may be the time to start thinking about expanding or upgrading the business.  Don’t wait for your biggest competitor to set the pace.

You ARE what you POST

We happily and sometimes carelessly post whatever we are doing in our business and our personal lives on the web. We do this through Facebook posts, tweets, YouTube videos and blog entries. Most of these posts are informative and seem at the time, harmless.

But a new group of people are beginning to take advantage of this wealth of information now available online and “mining’ it for their own purposes. Facebook has over 500 million members and users make 140 million posts to Twitter a day! These social media sources give outsiders a cheap tool for a lot of detective work. Since we engage in it voluntarily and usually for another purpose, it is seen as a very accurate source of information.

Here are 7 groups that might be looking at every post you make:

1. Employers

Prospective employers are not only looking at your resume but are putting your name into Google to see what added information they can find out. They are reading your Facebook and Twitter posts. They check the accuracy of your resume and accomplishments.

2. College Admission and Financial Aid Officers

Admissions officers check your posts to see what type of student you may be and if you would be a welcomed addition to the student body. College financial aid officers are also matching the information you filed with what you are doing professionally on the Web. Are you saying you have no money, but there is a picture of you in front of “your private jet”?

3. Thieves

Look how Foursquare ended up for Osama Bin Laden. Many of us carelessly post that we are out of town or what our location is in real time. This has been a boon to people looking to rob our homes. Insurance companies are now adding clauses that say they may not pay for a loss due to theft if you posted you were “gone on vacation” on Twitter or Facebook. Also, most social media sites have the three pieces of personal information that can make stealing your identity easy. These include full names, birthday, addresses, phone numbers, names of parents and children.

4.  Lawyers and Jury Selection Consultants

Lawyers are now mining the data for potential juror biases that can hurt or help their side of the case. These are now yielding better insights than the ordinary jury questionnaires. Some trial consulting firms such as DecisionQuest actually offer social media monitoring services before, during and after the trial.

5. Debt Collectors

These people need to find you in order to collect. They can find out if your offline story matches your online story. Are you really unable to pay your debts? What is the best way to contact you to get you to pay (either by phone, email or in person)? Where are you now? What about contacting guarantors of the debt that are connected to you?

6. Government Agencies

WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange stated that social media is the biggest source of information for the government. “Facebook in particular is the most appalling spying machine that has ever been invented,” He said that “we have the world’s most comprehensive database about people, their relationships, their names, their addresses, their locations and the communications with each other, their relatives…”

7. LENDERS!

Applying for a loan or mortgage?  Do you “show up” consistent with the assets and income you listed on the application? Are you a spender or very thrifty? Information found in social media about how large your business is and who you do it with are great resources for lenders.  You need to have a strategy in this area and experienced consultants leave nothing to chance.

If you need to raise working capital or secure a loan, give me call.  I will make sure you have the COMPLETE gameplan for success.

Thinking about advertising on Facebook? Think again…think community

On the surface, Facebook is an advertiser’s dream platform: You can target your audience by interest, geography, age or educational level. You can decide how you’ll pay for your ad — by impression or click-through. And, while your ad runs, Facebook provides daily reporting so you can track your ad’s reach and effectiveness in real time. 

Yet, despite the incredible scope and robust infrastructure, there’s not much data to suggest that, outside of a few notable exceptions, advertising on Facebook — or any social network — has led to significant sales.

 Facebook reaches 500 million people, but that doesn’t mean it will reach people who are interested in buying what you are selling. 

A social network’s strength is in its ability to create clubs and groups around areas of interests, not to deliver revenues from traditional broadcast-like advertising.   It’s about participation, not simply penetration. The idea is that businesses need to engage in a community as more than just advertisers. They need to bring something of value.

For example, Old Spice created a humorous ad campaign featuring actor and former pro athlete Isaiah Mustafa. They started making short videos that became popular online.  It was a viral success. It had a YouTube presence; it could be passed along and shared. It was user-generated content that propelled the message across different environments. It’s active. And it’s directly tied to an increase in sales. Old Spice was strategic. They allowed users to participate. The overall costs were minimized because the users did a lot of the work.  

The key is for advertisers to ask themselves what they can bring to the conversation, either by being perceived as an expert or offering something of value to the conversation.  That’s a shift in dynamics from traditional advertising.  Spend your advertising dollars wisely.

Rates are low and approvals are on the rise.  Let me know how I can help.

The good news continues on the borrowing front

According to data released from the Thomson Reuters/PayNet Small Business Lending Index, borrowing by small U.S. businesses rose 17% in April from the previous year. It was the ninth straight double-digit rise in the index.

The index is correlated to developments in the overall economy, with changes in the index preceding changes in the overall U.S. economy by two to five months.

While the borrowing index slipped about 1% from the prior month, the continued year-over-year gains suggest small businesses are primed to grow once demand for their goods and services picks back up.

The fact that small businesses are hanging in there is a good sign for the economy.  Borrowing by small businesses is seen as a harbinger for the broader economy because small firms account for as much as 80% of new hiring. The Thomson Reuters/PayNet index has proven a reliable predictor of GDP trends about two to five months in advance.

PayNet’s delinquency data shows that fewer companies are falling behind on their existing loan payments, and suggests businesses have the capacity to take on new loans when needed. Accounts in moderate delinquency, or those behind by 30 days or more, fell in April to 2.06%, near levels common before the recent recession. Accounts 90 days or more behind in payment, or in severe delinquency, fell to 0.64% in April from 0.67% in March.

Accounts behind 180 days or more, or in default and unlikely to ever get paid, fell to 0.76% of total receivables in April, from 0.77% in March.

Expect more of the same in June and throuout the summer months.   Rates are low.  Get me involvoled!.